Ascot Racing Tips for Saturday Dec 31st
Fri, 30/12/2016 – 10:15pm, tim_tips
The Perth Racing Carnival wraps adult with a Group 2 Perth Cup assembly on Saturday, and we have a illusory label lined adult to interpretation a coverage. There are 9 races in total, with a Cup upheld by a Group 3 La Trice Classic and a Listed Summer Scorcher.
We have betting tips for all 9 races as good as a minute demeanour during a Cup.
Ascot Racing Tips – Dec 31st 2016
I have no thought how they non-stop MOSSERATTI during $3 yet it’s been corroborated in to a right cost now during $2.10 best. we overtly consider he’s some-more of a $1.70-$1.80 possibility and looks a sincerely protected approach to get a day started. Recent form unequivocally good in this grade, down in weight after a explain and draws many improved than final start in separator 5 today. Would usually need to imitate new efforts to win this with many other horses stepping adult in grade. Clear tip pick.
Tip: Mosseratti (Best Bet)
Good competition with a series of winning hopes here. BRISANTO was satisfactory initial adult from a spell where she was beaten 2 lengths by a accessible type. Her form early on final prep was well-developed and she’s placed during both prior 2nd adult runs so with alleviation expected, and a improved pull in separator 5 today, we consider she can win. Her form during a lane and stretch is unequivocally good and it was usually final prep that she was blending it with Vega Magic, so with a somewhat quieter float and still on a smallest weight, she should get her possibility to win again. Run Liam Run put in a good bid initial adult when 2nd to Tommy Who – a equine that finished 3rd has given come out and won – so down in weight and with separator 1 he looks to be a large danger. Dendee, Yoshi Noxious and Dezzie’s Dream all reason claims.
Interesting race. GATTING looks hardest to kick given his illusory form this prep – he’s won 3 of his 4 races and placed in a other. He showed a superb spin of feet to win over 1500m final weekend and currently draws many improved and gets Pike behind on board, so he ticks copiousness of boxes. we contingency acknowledge we have a slight query over a fact he drops behind from 1500m to 1200m on a one week backup, yet he did win over 1100m usually dual starts ago so he should hoop it. Carocapo was unequivocally good to win on entrance in town. Expect him to lead and be tough to run down, while Veuve De Vega, Spangled Impact and Stored Energy could all win yet surprising.
Bob Peters once again binds all a aces here and it wouldn’t be a warn to see him land a initial 4. Cosmic Storm has finished zero to advise she won’t win again here after she came from good behind in a margin to win a Starstruck Classic final start. She was aided by a 10/10 float from Willie Pike and if she wasn’t hold far-reaching dual starts behind it is satisfactory to assume she’d be undefeated this prep. In observant that, her stablemate SILVERSTREAM has returned to her best form in her final dual starts and was usually a conduct divided in 2nd final start. She had to thread her approach by a bit of trade in a true and nonetheless she’s unused during this distance, we consider she can indeed kick Cosmic Storm today. The categorical reason we consider that is since of a separator draws. Cosmic Storm is expected to be strung adult in trade from separator 1 as she typically gets back, and she’ll need both copiousness of fitness and another pearler from Pike to have an undeviating run. Meanwhile, from separator 4 Silverstream can substantially lay one off a rail in midfield and competence be means to get initial run in a straight, that could be adequate to reason off Cosmic Storm. Cosmic Storm is one of my favourite horses over here, yet we consider a $4.40 for Silverstream is value holding today.
Another good competition that looks a competition in three. we consider CRONKITE can spin a tables on Pounamu here. We corroborated Pounamu final start and he got a income yet he rises 2kg in a weights currently and a large disproportion is Cronkite sketch separator 3. He simply got approach too distant behind final start from a far-reaching embankment before using home good into 3rd. From separator 3 Pike should be means to find a many closer mark and with a weight pitch we consider he could get a improved of a a grey. Settlers Creek separate them final start and continues to competition in good form, he will be there once again during a finish and we don’t design there to be many between a 3 of them. Outlaw Pete has had some-more than adequate chances with me and is sacked currently (so he’ll substantially win), while Special Delivery is a other to keep safe.
Probably a many rival competition of a day, and we count 7 horses that could win this. The competition should be run during a good dash given a likes of Agachar Cruz, Jezpark, Three Votes and Just Act Natural are all involved, that could set it adult for something like CUANZO to come from off a speed. This equine resumed with a large run during Bunbury in what was a significantly easier race, yet his 2nd adult record is superb and so too is his record over lane and distance. From separator 2 with 54.5kg he looms as a decent any approach possibility during $8 given a likely tempo. Of a on-pacers I’d be giving JUST ACT NATURAL another possibility after unsatisfactory initial up. He competence be means to take a lay currently yet he has positively got a talent to win this, while Presentatie resumes from a spell and is value gripping safe. She’s never run over 1100m yet she’ll be entrance from behind in a margin and is another that has a ability. Three Votes has trialled adult good for his lapse and we design him to lead yet a final 100m competence usually find him out here if a dash is hot. Agachar Cruz, Viking Forest and Shady Gray are all winning hopes.
Tip: Cuanzo EW
Volkoff was a extensive leader final start over 1100m where he won by 2 lengths, that followed a fibre of good performances in harder races over a carnival. This is a worse competition than what he faced final time yet down on a smallest weight he should get his possibility to win again. I’ll be subsidy dual during longer prices, however, that are KING’S TROOP and NORTH RIDGE. King’s Troop creates his WA entrance for a Gangemi fast (along with Durendal) after 10 starts in Sydney for Gerald Ryan. If we demeanour behind by his form, it creates him unequivocally tough to kick here. At his 3rd start he ran 2nd to Japonisme in a San Domenico Stakes, and usually dual starts ago ran 2nd to Spieth who should have been a Group 1 leader during his subsequent start! Drawn well, down in a weights and has won a hearing heading into this – if he is during his best he’ll win and $6 is a good cost to find out. NORTH RIDGE catches a eye with William Pike requisitioned to float for Fred Kersley – a initial time they have related adult this season. This equine should have finished many closer to Volkoff initial adult after being hold adult badly during a tip of a straight. we consider he’s come behind in good sequence and during $9 is value carrying something on.
Tip: King’s Troop / North Ridge (Best Value)
We have a fascinating Cup in front of us with Perfect Reflection perplexing to obey what Delicacy did final year and lift 59kg to win, yet as good as she is, we don’t consider that will be function and I’ll be avoiding her during all costs today. we usually consider a weight will be too many for her today, and with a weight pitch she has to concur to others, she faces an almighty charge to win. Kia Ora Koutou comes adult favourite after outstaying his rivals to win over 2200m final start. The pivotal to that win was his manoeuvre creation a mid-race pierce due to a tardy dash that authorised him to unequivocally make it a staying test. The win was full of consequence yet we consider he’s underneath a contingency during $3.30 and I’ll be subsidy him as a saver play only, during best. we indeed consider he wants serve than this, and if it comes down to a sprint, we consider there’s others that have a crook spin of foot.
One of those is STAR EXHIBIT, and we can’t get adequate of this equine here. It helps that we got him during $15 before his final start win, yet we usually consider he is ideally placed to win currently and a $7.50 is still a good cost given my doubts about a initial two. He gave them all a start and all a violence in a ATA Stakes final week, and his spin of feet to win was utterly impressive. Drops to a smallest weight here and if he’s tighten adequate on a turn, we consider he’ll win.
Respondent finished 2nd to Star Exhibit final start and gets a 2.5kg weight pitch in his foster here, so notwithstanding a far-reaching separator he could be rival again during decent odds. Fathoms Of Gold scarcely pulled off an startling front using opening when 2nd to Perfect Reflection final start. They’ll adopt identical strategy and with an 8kg weight pitch currently he could positively run another large race. Tradesman is another that gets an 8kg weight pitch on Perfect Reflection and he simply got approach too distant behind final start, yet he still ran on stylishly to finish 2.25L divided in 5th. He draws feeble once again that could move him undone, yet he’s one to keep safe, and a same can be pronounced for Zarantz who also gets a 8kg pitch on Perfect Reflection, yet his record during a lane is adequate to put me off.
I’ll be adhering with Star Exhibit here who we consider if drifting and represents good value given a doubts over a tip dual in a market.
Tip: Star Exhibit
Three that seductiveness me here. ROMELU is a initial of those and is a $4.25 favourite due to a Pike/Peters cause yet it’s conspicuous that he jumps off Point to float this equine initial adult from a spell today. He trialled her a integrate of weeks behind and she did run 2nd initial adult final prep over 1600m so she looks primed to run a large competition here. Draws good and weighted to win so she goes on top. LIBERTY RISE won good initial adult during Northam before using respectably in Listed association final start behind Cosmic Storm, that is good form for a competition like this. She can run good from a good gate, while a value in a competition could be LUKE’S GOLD. This equine has been unsuccessful in a few of his new runs, including final week when he never saw illumination behind Pinzu. The far-reaching separator competence means him his possibility to run on today, yet a manoeuvre engagement does regard me. Worth carrying something on during $13.
Tip: Romelu / Luke’s Gold EW
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