Caulfield Racing Tips for Saturday Jan 7th
Fri, 06/01/2017 – 5:00pm, tim_tips
Racing earnings to Caulfield this weekend as things start to take figure for Blue Diamond Stakes Day during a finish of successive month. While the 9 foe card currently appears to be sincerely plain, we could get a clearer design of a 2YO pecking sequence and there are positively some accessible forms set to foe after in a day.
All in all, we consider we’re in for a good days racing and Caulfield is one of my favourite marks quite since of a coherence and fairness.
This could infer flattering essential to those with one eye on a Blue Diamond. While Tulip competence have been a some-more visually considerable of David Hayes’ two-year-olds, a times advise there is not most between her and CATCHY, who comes adult a contingency on favourite here. Personally, we consider a character of Catchy’s win on debut, as good as a time she clocked, advise she is a picturesque possibility of winning a Blue Diamond, and we wouldn’t be astounded if she was a best of a Lindsay Park two-year-olds. The form from her initial win has already valid unequivocally clever with Limestone winning during Flemington final week, and if Catchy is as most of a Blue Diamond possibility as we consider she is, she’ll be winning this. Currently around $17 in Blue Diamond markets so it could be value removing in early. The biggest risk looks to be Robert Smerdon’s PROPERTY, who was kept underneath a reason in his jumpout. SEE ME EXCEED could be a value wish after winning a burst out during this lane heading into this.
Really formidable foe to consider with copiousness of chances, so not one I’m overly penetrating to get concerned in betting-wise. Despite early marketplace support, I’m going to take on Amadeus here who, notwithstanding entrance by dual clever form races this prep, raced like he was looking for belligerent final start. If we demeanour behind to final prep, he stretched out to 1400m and we consider he will be improved over that arrange of belligerent as against to a 1100m here. It could be value giving MR DASHING another go after using 3rd initial adult during a Valley underneath 60kg. He was beaten convincingly by Mystified that day though Mystified had a lay on all of them and with Mr Dashing dropping from 60kg to 56.5kg here he is most improved off. The value to me looks to be DANCE WITH FONTEIN who has come behind in good sequence this prep. She finished 1.5L forward of Amadeus final start and notwithstanding a arise in weight, indeed gets in 2.5kg improved off. Has won her usually start 3rd adult from a spell and from a inside embankment should get a ideal run so $11 looks a good price.
Tip: Mr Dashing / Dance With Fontein EW (Best Value)
We were on Crystal Dreamer final start and she won good for us though I’m jumping off currently with a step adult in class and a far-reaching draw. Both of her wins this prep she has had a easiest runs in a foe from barriers 1 and 4, though from separator 10 currently she won’t get that. Happy to go with CANA who won dual starts behind in Sydney in identical class before entrance to Melbourne and using 2nd to King’s Command (who has been good corroborated in a final foe of a day) in this class during a Valley. From separator 3 she can get a good run and she should infer tough to beat.
Very rival foe here with about 7 of a 9 runners in with a chance. The gait could be pivotal here with a likes of Invictum Domina and No Tan Tat expected to foe a lead. we consider if Invictum Domina had a soothing lead she’d be a one to kick here though given she will have foe for a lead it could set it adult for KENEDNA who comes into this 3rd adult from a spell after a plain adequate win during Echuca final start. Gets in fine with a 2kg explain for Ben Allen and we design her to lay only off a speed and pounce late. The step adult to 1400m looks to fit her. Others during longer contingency such as ALMA’S ROSSA, GRIOUX and MACATTACK are also in with a plain any approach chance. Happy to take on both Special Diva and No Tan Tat stepping adult from lass class to a wily race.
Another unequivocally rival foe and we found it tough to separate a series of these. BALF’S CHOICE gets his possibility to win currently after a fibre of good performances. Last start he only battled on to run 3rd behind Plein Ciel that is a good form line and a step adult to 1700m should fit him. we consider with a good pull and a bad pull for Royal Applause, he can spin a tables on a mare. FOLK TALES comes off a unequivocally considerable win in Class 1 during Cranbourne final start over 1500m. This is significantly harder though he won by scarcely 5 lengths there and should once again urge with a additional furlong here. One during value competence be a Weir/Allen curtain CRAFTY DEVIL who unequivocally ran home good over 1800m during Sandown final start.
Tip: Balf’s Choice/ Crafty Devil EW
Excited by a lapse of a unequivocally earnest Ameristralia here who won 3 from 4 final prep and finished with a 5th fixation behind successive Group 1 performer Sheidel. She’s won a burst out heading into this and behind to this class looks unequivocally tough to beat, though during a $2.00 quote we don’t consider she’s value backing. It’s a opposite story if you’ve managed to get on a $3.70 that went adult early though during a stream quotes I’d be subsidy LYUBA and MOSSIN’ AROUND. Lyuba has finished zero to advise she won’t be right in a finish currently after dual wins and a 2nd from 3 starts this prep. She bumped into a intelligent one final start and with a explain for Allen she gets in pretty good here. From a good pull we design her to be right on a gait and if she gets a few lengths on Ameristralia in a true she will be tough to run down. Mossin’ Around hasn’t won for a prolonged time though she should have won final prep and we don’t consider we’ve seen a best of her. we unequivocally consider she can go tighten here and during a $7.50 is a best value curtain in a race. I’ll be subsidy both and holding on Ameristralia during a price.
Tip: Lyuba / Mossin’ Around EW
While this is a most stronger foe than what he’s contested so far, it’s unequivocally tough to go past PLEIN CIEL who is undefeated in Australia. He’s won all 3 starts facilely and from a inside embankment should get an easy run in transit. Allen’s explain brings him down to 55kg and his time over 1600m final start was some-more than a second quicker than Rewarding Effort’s time over a same distance. In observant that, Rewarding Effort does looks a unequivocally on-going equine and was heavily eased down final start. He is certain to be rival here. Cool Chap a engaging curtain behind in this grade.
Tip: Plein Ciel (Best Bet)
The cost is all though left now though if CHANCE TO DANCE brings his best form here he will win this. He’s got a win over The United States successive to his name that was coincidentally initial adult from a spell over 1600m. First adult final prep he flew home over 1400m with 59.5kg so a mile initial adult here looks right adult his alley. The explain brings him down to 54.5kg and from separator 4 he will get positively any chance. MIHANY continues to foe good and will give another good steer out front, while his stablemate GOLDEN MANE has a good Caulfield record though competence only need one some-more run to be during his top.
Tip: Chance To Dance
Only dual that unequivocally seductiveness me here. KING’S COMMAND should unequivocally suffer a dump behind to BM78 class here. Has been using good in worse class and simply got too distant behind final start. Carries a 59kg here after a explain though gets a good pull and should be going close. BRADMAN put a essay on a wall final start that he is prepared to win. He routinely takes a few runs to come good and now during his fourth run behind from a spell he looks prepared to peak. He circled far-reaching final start and ran into 2nd and will have to do identical here from separator 10, though he’s another that should suffer a dump in grade. Happy to behind Bradman any approach here though really have a saver on King’s Command.
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