Moonee Valley Tips for Saturday Dec 31st
Fri, 30/12/2016 – 10:50pm, tim_tips
Saturday racing earnings to Moonee Valley for an 8 competition module before we try to Flemington on New Years Day. Seven of a 8 races are scurry races so it will be engaging to note any patterns that might arise early on in a day.
The lane is a Soft 5 after a charge that strike Melbourne, yet with excellent continue we should see that upgraded to a Good 4 during some stage.
Moonee Valley Racing Tips – Dec 31st 2016
The income has good and truly come for a magnificently bred TULIP for a Hayes/Dabernig stable. Bred by Pierro out of a Rock Of Gibraltar mare (just a accessible 12 Group 1’s in a family), she won a hearing during Tatura violence a equine that came out and won on debut. There was a opening of 6 lengths behind to 3rd and while it looks as if 1400m-1600m will be her best distance, she should be good adequate to win over 1000m here. Williams to float is another hint. Biggest risk is a initial starter for a Freedmans, Bookbuild.
Absolute lottery of a competition here with any series of chances. BELLA AVA should unequivocally conclude a sleet that’s depressed and if a lane stays a Soft 5 she should be competitive. She won on Soft belligerent dual starts ago before unwell down a true final start in what’s been a clever form race. SIREN’S REWARD usually got run down final start over 1000m here so with 55.5kg, separator 3 and a Weir/Allen combo she will go really close, while TOORAK ROSE ran a blinder initial adult down a true behind a gifted Miss Wonderland and will be entrance home tough from a back.
I’ll be subsidy Bella Ava and Siren’s Reward here with a small saver on Toorak Rose in what looks a really tough race.
Tip: Bella Ava / Siren’s Reward
LADY ESPRIT has to pile 59.5kg here yet she has been contesting harder races than this. With separator 3 and comparison supplement Zahra on board, she should go tighten if she repeats new efforts behind Lyuba and Estaminet. APPALACHIAN ANNIE resumes from a spell after unwell in dual starts on Soft marks in a winter. If a lane firms adult to a Good 4 she should run well. Has dual wins from 4 starts when initial adult from a spell and has finished in a tip dual during 4 of her 6 starts over lane and distance.
Tip: Appalachian Annie EW
HONEY CARA won over this lane and stretch final start by 6 lengths and there’s no reason to advise she can’t win again here. She draws separator 14 that is a usually regard yet Allen should take her to a front and if she gets there easy adequate she’ll be intensely tough to run down. Locking in a $3.25 bound while it still lasts. The value in a competition clearly looks to be PRIMA during $15, that we consider is good over a odds. He won over this lane and stretch 4 starts ago and has given run 3 uninterrupted 3rds. His past dual have been in utterly good form races behind a likes of Gallic Chieftan, Goathland and Flying Light, so behind to BM78 grade, with a 2kg explain and a good barrier, we consider he’ll run a super competition during odds.
Tip: Honey Cara / Prima EW (Best Value)
FUHRYK looks really on-going and has constructed dual really good performances to win both of her past dual starts. First adult she stormed home during Wodonga after being hold adult and afterwards final start she bolted in during this lane and stretch to win by 2.75L going away. Up in class yet down in weight and draws ideally in separator 3 so there’s no reason she can’t go in once again. Also value mentioning she is DAvid Hayes’ best of a weekend. The one we am many heedful of is OUR LUCA who led all a approach and trotted in during SAle on debut, where he ran discerning time too. He will substantially demeanour for a lead again here from a far-reaching gate, and if he manages to get opposite yet spending too many fuel he could good win again.
Another low competition with many hopes yet I’ll be subsidy both ARMADA and ROMAN FIZZ here. Armada ($6.50) resumed with a good run during Kilmore behind Airalign that afterwards came out and won final weekend. Last start he worked home good again to finish 2nd behind a on-going Divine Mr Artie in aloft class than this, so with a good pull and a explain for Ben Allen, he can win during his third run behind from a spell. ROMAN FIZZ continues to run good this prep and put in a plain opening final start down a true during Flemington. He won over this lane and stretch underneath 59.5kg dual starts ago and a equine he kick afterwards came out and won his subsequent start. From separator 6 he maps to get a good run and during $13 looks a decent bet.
Tip: Armada / Roman Fizz
Pretty penetrating on ANATOLA here for Mick Price and Damien Oliver. Should have won initial adult when she was badly hold adult for many of a true before charging home late to skip by half a length. The additional 200m should fit her and she should have softened fitness-wise, so with a identical weight in a same class and Oliver maintaining a ride, she looks tough to beat. Maps to get a honeyed run from separator 5 and looks one of a improved bets on a card.
Tip: Anatola (Best Bet)
Was really vehement to see a Australian entrance of former HK equine Divine Ten yet it appears as yet he won’t be running. I’m sincerely penetrating on BEAU RADA here third adult from a spell. He ran a large competition initial adult and afterwards final start was hold adult for a infancy of a true before being beaten 2L during Flemington. He was desperately detrimental and his third adult record is dual wins from 3 starts so he should be set to rise here. Has a good record over this lane and stretch and we consider he is drifting this prep so if he gets even fitness from separator 1 afterwards we design him to go really tighten during a decent price. OLIVIER looks a risk for Darren Weir after a good initial adult run in Adelaide, while ROCK ‘N’ GOLD didn’t have a lot of fitness final start and can win here.
Tip: Beau Rada
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